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On the Arkansas Coaching Search–I Can See For Miles and Miles and Miles

Posted by Adam Butler on November 28, 2012

Talk about a crazy season.

Just when you thought the 2012 Arkansas Razorbacks football campaign couldn’t get any nuttier, an off-the-wall rumor about a standing, 5-year, $27.2 million UA offer to LSU Head Coach Les Miles started making the rounds yesterday. Then, it was debunked, before it gained steam again.

Almost immediately, Arkansas fans found the nearest ledge and started threatening to jump. The nearly universal thought among Hogs (and Tigers?) fans seems to be that LSU wins despite Miles–the 2011 AP National Coach of the Year.

Is it even possible for that notion to be completely true? Yes, Alabama Head Coach Nick Saban left Miles a program that was rolling on the Bayou. And, The Hat’s success admittedly looks so easy even a Cave Man could do it.

But, former LSU head coaches Mike Archer, Curley Hallman and Gerry Dinardo–a combined 76-70 from 1987-1999–probably beg to differ.

So what does this mean for Arkansas as it reportedly eyes Miles? It’s hard to say at this point.

What we know is that Arkansas Athletic Director Jeff Long is a budding master of misdirection. After a couple of near misfires before he had time to get his UA office furnished (Wake Forest’s Jim Grobe, former Clemson head coach Tommy Bowden) Long has proven to be a capable hirer of head coaches.

And, recent history shows that the latest Miles rumors fit a pattern for Long.

While Razorback Nation has been (sometimes in a delusional state) contemplating the fate of its marquee programs in the hands of either disappointing (former Oklahoma defensive coordinator Brent Venables, Florida St. head coach Leonard Hamilton) or ultra- exciting (former UNC head coach Butch Davis, Kentucky head coach John Calipari) rumored frontrunners during Long’s last few coaching searches, he has managed to pull a couple of unexpected rabbits out of his hat (Bobby Petrino, Mike Anderson).

This search should be no different. I’m not saying Long will land former Super Bowl-winning head coach and current Monday Night Football analyst Jon Gruden or Boise St. head coach Chris Peterson. In fact, I feel strongly that he won’t.

But I do expect Long to make a very solid, and potentially excellent hire after putting the Fear of Les into Arkansas fans’ hearts. That’s Long’s recent M.O.–lower the bar and then clear it with room to spare.

I do not know who the hire will be, but I think its much more likely that Arkansas ends up with a head coach like Vanderbilt’s James Franklin than a wildcard like Miles.

If so, Razorback fans might ultimately be counting their lucky stars and relishing the fact we aren’t in AR-KANSAS, anymore.

Posted in Commentary, Sports | Tagged: , , , , | 12 Comments »

Select 17 – Week 5

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 24, 2012

We are licking our wounds around the BlogHawgs.com world headquarters. It’s difficult to think of anything positive to say about the Razorbacks at this point. With 10 more weeks of college football before the bowls begin, it’s our responsibility to rally. Easier said than done…

The rest of the college football world outside of Arkansas looks strikingly similar to the Old Days. Small underdogs like Boise State have given way to college football bluebloods thus far. Florida State and Notre Dame look like legit football powers again, while Alabama and LSU continue to flex their muscles. One change of note, though, in this week’s Select 17: Oregon has jumped the Tigers after the Ducks’ very strong performance against Arizona and LSU’s lethargic win at Auburn. With only one point separating the two, don’t be surprised if LSU jumps back to the #2 slot soon.  

Rank Team Votes LW
1 Alabama (9) 153 1
2 Oregon 138 3
3 LSU 137 2
4 Georgia 123 4
5 Florida St. 121 5
6 South Carolina 100 8
7 West Virginia 95 6
8 Kansas St. 85 11
9 Stanford 81 9
10 Notre Dame 59 15
11 Florida   58 14
12 Texas 53 13
13 Southern Cal 47 12
14 TCU 28 17
15 Ohio St. 23 16
16 Louisville 19 NR
17 Mississippi St. 18 NR

Others Receiving Votes: Clemson 15, Oklahoma 15, Oregon St. 5, Rutgers 3, Baylor 2, Michigan St. 1

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Select 17 – Week 4

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 17, 2012

After three weeks of play in the 2012 season, it once again looks like the SEC’s national title to lose. With Southern Cal’s loss at Stanford this week, the Alabama Crimson Tide and LSU Tigers have solidified their respective #1 and #2 spots in all the major polls. Of course, we had that right at the BlogHawgs.com Select 17 for a while now. For the third week in a row, Alabama is the unanimous #1 team in the Select 17 and LSU the unanimous Number Two. Oregon, currently #3, and Florida State – now #5 – look to be the two biggest threats to an all-SEC BCS final again this year. With #4 Georgia looking strong early and #14 Florida emerging as a real threat, the SEC Champion could face the runner up from either SEC division this year if no one else emerges as a legit title threat.

The Ducks do look strong, though, and they deserve their #3 status. West Virginia and Oklahoma appear to be the cream of the Big XII crop, although Kansas State may have something to say about that this weekend when the Wildcats travel to Norman. Stanford looks to once again play the role of dark horse contender, and Notre Dame is lurking after its quality win at East Lansing on Saturday.

Absent from the poll? Our Arkansas Razorbacks. If this was a Most Disappointing Teams of 2012 poll, I think we’d finally have a consensus #1 team in Fayetteville.

To the numbers…

Rank Team Votes LW
1 Alabama (9) 153 1
2 LSU 144 2
3 Oregon 132 4
4 Georgia 121 5
5 Florida St. 110 6
6 West Virginia 105 8
7 Oklahoma 94 7
8 South Carolina 88 9
9 Stanford 87 17
10 Clemson 80 11
11 Kansas St. 46 13
12 Southern Cal 42 3
13 Texas 35 14
14 Florida 31 NR
15 Notre Dame 29 NR
16 Ohio St 23 16
17 TCU 20 NR

Others Receiving Votes: Michigan 15, Louisville 8, Mississippi State 5, UCLA 4, Arizona 1, Virginia Tech 1, Alabama JV 1

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BlogHawgs Twitter Style College Football Weekend Preview–9/13/12

Posted by Adam Butler on September 13, 2012

                  ”What’s Happiness? It’s the moment before you need more happiness.”–Don Draper, Mad Men

Sometimes, Karma can be a real Nancy Grace.

I definitely paid dearly for last week’s 140-character nuggets of “Twitter Style College Football Weekend Preview” goodness.

Someone named Kolton Browning ambled into the War Memorial Stadium endzone in overtime last Saturday night in Little Rock, capping a most unexpected 34-31 Louisiana-Monroe victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks.

As Browning crossed the goalline, a little large piece of me died. Luckily for BlogHawgs Nation, it wasn’t the part of me that revels in unnecessary, mean-spirited College Football fashioned sarcasm.

As usual, the only rules for this soon-to-be-copied Twitter style preview are that the fake user names can’t be longer than 15 characters (but ing may or may not be registered, already), the Tweets cannot exceed 140 characters, and I have to end each one with a smarmy hash tag.

Just as last week, I am going to Tweet the (formerly fake) Tweets on our BlogHawgs Twitter account (follow us on Twitter here). The hope is that is the once-dormant account will generate something the kids call followers.

If so, that’s great. If not, you will at the very least still get your weekly does of gruff cynicism. Let’s get it started:

California at Ohio State: @millertime: Even the Cal-Berkley students hate Urban Meyer and they love everyone. #herbnotUrb

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh: @Pittiful: Hokies vs. Slow Pokeys. #NoDoubtingThomasthisweek

Arkansas State at Nebraska: @Gussites: Malzahn’s worshippers are turning Jonesboro into Jonestown. #JimJoneswaslessegocentric

Louisiana-Monroe at Auburn: @moltenKolton: After watching Kiehl Frazier play QB again last week, I am convinced he’ll be a nice Tight End one day. #QBRuKiddingMe?

Presbyterian at Vanderbilt: @DoreNthaFloor: James Franklin is having a tough time coaching Vandy and QBing Mizzou at the same time.#GloriaVanderbiltcouldbeatPresbyterian

Alabama at Arkansas: @HogsRConcussin: This game could have a storybook ending. I just hope the book isn’t “The Shining”. #LittlepigslittlepigsdontletNickcomein

Massachusetts at Michigan: @RobinsonCruSoso: Michigan’s starters will be in for a Minute, Man. #UMASSiveletdown

North Carolina at Louisville: @CountryStrong: Will Arkansas native Charlie Strong be the next Head Hog? #stillaPioneer

Texas A&M at SMU: @NKOTB: Ags shouldn’t have to worry about their 2nd-half woes this week. #itsamanziel

Florida at Tennessee: @bitterpill: The “Gameday” crew should be in the Ozarks instead of the Smokey Mountains. #OrangeowesBrowning

UAB at South Carolina: @ConnorWho?: Former Hog OC Garrick McGee hopes to take down USCE for a big 1st W. #GoBlazers

Arizona State at Missouri: @JarvisJones: How’d you like that old Man Football, Misery? #FaurUhOhField

Mississippi State at Troy: @StarkVegas: NCAA trouble is brewing in Cowbell Country. #Mullenhisoptions?

USC at Stanford: @UpsetAlert: This budding rivalry keeps getting better. Could Stanford surprise USCW? #whatsinthisTrojanHorse?

Idaho at LSU: @Red Stick: Suspensions, injuries and academic casualties are piling up for LSU. #Ih8that

Notre Dame at Michigan State: @Sparty: Tough MSU defense should change luck of the Irish. #andNDwillstillmoveupinthepolls

Texas at Ole Miss: @BigHeadToddy: If Mack loses this one he may be put out to pasture. #cantheybothlose?

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Scalps on the Wall

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 12, 2012

I’m tired of pretending the Hogs aren’t total bitchin’ rock stars from Mars.

I spent some time earlier this week reliving all of Arkansas’s memorable losses since joining the SEC. After last Saturday’s Markham Street Meltdown it felt right. Now that the unranked Hogs get a free shot at the #1 team in the land, it also feels appropriate to look at the best wins for the Razorbacks in the same time frame.

We’re trying to look on the bright side. With ten weeks left in the season, we need to be as positive as possible. What’s the alternative? Sitting around feeling sorry for ourselves while another championship passes us by? That’s what basketball season is for these days. (ZING!)

The good news is that Arkansas has pulled off bigger upsets with less talent. It has been almost 5 years since the Hogs knocked off the #1 team in the country, so we’re due for another big win. To hopefully invite good juju into Razorback Nation, let’s take a stroll down Memory Lane and remember the good times we’ve all enjoyed as Hogs fans since joining the Southeastern Conference.

1) Tennessee (Nov. 13, 1999) – Redemption! After the crushing loss at Neyland Stadium just one year earlier, Clint Stoerner and Anthony Lucas produced one of the greatest moments in the history of Razorback Stadium. The Volunteers entered the stadium ranked #3 in the nation, hoping to repeat as national champs. Instead they left in defeat, coincidentally by the exact same score of their win on Rocky Top the previous year. Arkansas 28, #3 Tennessee 24

1999 Arkansas vs Tennessee from Hog Database on Vimeo.

 

2) Tennessee (Oct. 10, 1992) – In the first matchup between the two schools as conference foes, the overmatched Razorbacks marched into Knoxville with an interim coach a few weeks after a humiliating loss. They came back across the Mississippi River as dragon slayers. Orlando Watters ripped off a 71-yard punt return for a TD. Freshman quarterback Barry Lunney, Jr. and the offense failed to convert a tying 2-point conversion. Darwin Irelland recovered Todd Wright’s onside kick attempt with 2:27 remaining in the game.  Lunney connected with Tracy Caldwell on 3rd and 16. And Wright, goofy helmet and all, slide in a 41-yard field goal with :02 on the clock. What a ride. I remember it like it was yesterday. Arkansas 25, #3 Tennessee 24

1992 Arkansas vs Tennessee from Hog Database on Vimeo.

 

3) Alabama (Sept. 16, 1995) – You want to piss off a Bama fan this weekend? Tell him Lunney-to-Meadors was a catch. Arkansas 20, #13 Alabama 19

 

4) Texas (Jan. 1, 2000) – Remember Y2K? The way Arkansas ran up, over, and around the Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl you’d think Texas had been up all night waiting on the world to end. Instead it was their season that ended in very, very disappointing fashion. It also marked the end of an era as it was the final time we’d see Stoerner-to-Lucas in Razorback red. #24 Arkansas 27, #14 Texas 6

 

5) LSU (Nov. 27, 2002) – Almost everyone I know has a story from where they were during this game. I watched this from a bar full of LSU fans in New Orleans. After getting its ass handed to it all day, the Arkansas offense went nuts late – resulting in a signature play that became known as the Miracle on Markham. Arkansas 21, #17 LSU 20

 

6) LSU (Nov. 23, 2007) – Several things stand out to me about this game. Clearly, it was thrilling to see the Hogs knock off the #1 team in the country. It was also the last time we saw Houston Nutt, Darren McFadden, Felix Jones, and Peyton Hillis all on the same field. And it was the day before I got engaged. Arkansas 50, #1 LSU 48 (3 OT)

 

7) Ole Miss (Nov. 3, 2001) – The Razorbacks and Rebels wrote a story that autumn night in Oxford, Mississippi, that Mr. William Faulkner himself could never have imagined. Tied at 17-17 after regulation, the game didn’t end until Jermaine Petty stopped Mississippi tight end Doug Zeigler at the 2-yard line to seal this historic win. Never before had a college football game reached 7 overtime periods, and it lands appropriately at the #7 spot on this list. Arkansas 50, Ole Miss 48

2001 Arkansas vs Mississippi [7ot] from Hog Database on Vimeo.

 

8) Texas (Sept. 13, 2003) – The Razorbacks rolled into Austin for the first time since leaving the Southwest Conference and showed all the speed and power the SEC had to offer. Matt Jones, a question mark entering the game due to an injury, looked as good as ever by putting up 241 yards of offense and 2 touchdowns. I remember watching this at my buddy Jon’s house while his just-turned-2-year old son, who is now 11, took a nap. Lots of silent cheers that day. Arkansas 38, #5 Texas 28

2003 Arkansas vs Texas from Hog Database on Vimeo.

 

9) LSU (Nov. 27, 2010) – How sweet it is! Arkansas finally reached its first BCS bowl game thanks to another win in Little Rock in the Battle of the Boot. Ryan Mallett threw for more than 300 yards and 3 touchdowns in his final regular season game. #12 Arkansas 31, #5 LSU 23

 

10) Auburn (Oct. 7, 2006) – This game had it all. A breakout performance from Darren McFadden. Freshman sensation Mitch Mustain winning on the road. Beating an Arkansas native head coach roaming the far sideline. And a national television audience watching the Hogs take down the #2 team in the country. Arkansas 27, #2 Auburn 10

 

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Select 17 – Week 2

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 4, 2012

Apparently none of the AP, USA Today, or ESPN Power Rankings voters have listened to the experts on vaious Arkansas message boards this week. While work must be done to shore up the defense – especially the secondary – Arkansas dominated an inferior team en route to a 3-TD win on Saturday. That was good enough for the Hogs to jump South Carolina and Oklahoma in the AP poll and move up to #8 in the nation. The Hogs held their ground at #10 in the USA Today/Coches’ Poll, and Arkansas inched into the Top Ten in this week’s ESPN.com Power Rankings, switching places with South Carolina.

So much for the Sky is Falling crowd…

Similar to the national polls the Select 17 voters rewarded Arkansas with a season opening victory, imperfect as it was. The Hogs moved up one spot from #7 to #6 thanks in large part to Oklahoma’s less-than-convincing win over UTEP late Saturday evening. (For the record, I have not been a Sooner believer all year. I have them at #15 on my ballot, down one spot from last week.) The national polls also jumped on the Select 17 bandwagon, crowning Alabama as the #1 team in the land. The Crimson Tide picked up all 9 first place votes in our poll. With Western Kentucky waiting in the wings, it seems very like the Tide will roll into Fayetteville as the #1 team in the nation for the second consecutive time. If Arkansas holds up its end of the bargain, we will once again be treated to a battle of Top Ten teams at Reynolds Razorback Stadium one week from Saturday.

Elsewhere in the Select 17, Michigan slides all the way to #16 based on their performance against the aforementioned Crimson Tide. Southern Cal and LSU enter Week 2 tied for the second spot in the polls after dueling destructions of Hawai’i and North Texas, respectively. Oregon and Georgia round out the Top Five this week. Both Virginia Tech and Oklahoma State enter the rankings after victories in Week One. To the surprise of no one, Arkansas State did not pick up any votes this week.

To the numbers…

Rank Team Votes LW
1 Alabama (9) 153 1
t2 Southern Cal 138 3
t2 LSU 138 2
4 Oregon 124 4
5 Georgia 110 5
6 Arkansas 103 7
7 Florida St. 92 8
t8 Oklahoma 81 6
t8 West Virginia 81 12
10 South Carolina 68 10
11 Wisconsin 60 11
12 Clemson 59 14
13 Michigan St. 53 13
14 Nebraska 37 15
15 Virginia Tech 19 -
16 Michigan 18 9
17 Oklahoma St. 13 -

Others Receiving Votes: Texas 11, Ohio State 10, Stanford 7, Kansas St. 3, Louisville 3

 

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It’ll be a good season if…

Posted by Brett Kincaid on August 31, 2012

This is the 29th in our series 30 Thoughts on Razorback Football in 30 Days leading up to the 2012 Kickoff.

The quest begins tomorrow.

For the past month we have spent time considering what makes a good or bad season for Arkansas. From the emergence of complimentary receiving threats to which uniforms this Hogs could/should wear, Adam and I have tried to cover as many bases as possible. Now that we’re approaching 24 hours until kickoff, Hog fans have tired of the talk and simply want some football. So we leave you with two more posts before the Razorbacks run through the “A” at Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Today I try to finish this sentence: It will be a good season if….

 

Let’s knock out the easy ones first.

It will be a good season if….the Hogs go undefeated.

No shit, Sherlock.

It will be a good season if … Tyler Wilson and Knile Davis don’t miss time to injury.

See above

It will be a good season if….the Hogs end up 6-6 and John L. Smith is fired.

Now we’re talking!

See, the first two answers are easy. Of course Arkansas will have a good season if the first two things are true. Those are essentially objective answers to a subjective question. The last one, though, starts to peel back the onion just a bit. For some people – for the record, I am not one of them – a “good” season means we start over in December with a “name” head coach to finally put the Bobby Petrino Era in the rearview mirror.

To other people a “good” season constitutes nine wins and a trip to the Cotton Bowl or maybe even the Chickfila Bowl. I contend that most of these people probably lined up around the corner just to eat Chickfila a few weeks ago and still believe the world was created in a mere 7 days. But in their simple little world, nine wins should be sufficient. The world ends on 12/12/12 anyway, so playing in the BCS won’t really matter too much.

Back to reality…

Let’s break down the schedule into four quarters and see if we can define a “good” season for Arkansas.

First Quarter

  • v. Jacksonville State
  • v. UL – Monroe (Little Rock)
  • v. Alabama

If Arkansas loses tomorrow against Jacksonville State, I think we can safely say that there is no chance of a good season. Thankfully lightning doesn’t strike twice, and Jack Crowe has already been part of a one-in-a-million loss in Fayetteville. The following week Arkansas ups the competition against UL-Monroe. The wannabe Cajuns have an up-tempo offense that can disrupt teams much like the old triple-option, but the Hogs are just too good. There is no rational excuse for Arkansas to be anything but 2-0 heading into the SEC opener on September 15th against Alabama.

Get your towel ready, bubba.

That sets up the second consecutive Top Ten meeting of these two squads in Fayetteville. Even if Bama loses against Michigan (aint gonna happen) they’ll still be Top Ten. Alabama should be pretty explosive offensively – especially with an experienced, talented offensive line – while still feeling their way on defense. Quite honestly this team looks very much like the 2010 team. Lots of talent back on offense with a few questions at running back, an experienced quarterback, and several new starters in place on defense.

If Arkansas escapes the first two weeks without injury, I honestly believe they can and will beat Alabama on September 15th. The main reason Arkansas lost in 2010 was a lack of running game. Ryan Mallett threw 3 interceptions, but he shouldn’t have even had to throw those last two. The Hogs should have been cramming the ball between the tackles. With Knile Davis, Dennis Johnson, and Ronnie Wingo, Jr. in the lineup this year, I expect a Razorback rushing attack far more powerful than what we’ve seen in the past.

At the end of the First Quarter, Arkansas should have a 3-0 record.

 

Second Quarter

  • v. Rutgers
  • at Texas A&M
  • at Auburn

This will be tough for the Hogs. There’s no way to get around it. Rutgers comes to town the week after Alabama in one of the two big trap games I identified earlier this summer. For the purposes of this column, we’ll assume Arkansas pushes through the tough mental week and beats the Scarlet Knights. The following week means a trip to College Station, Texas. If the Aggies were just a little bit better than they are, I’d be worried. But Arkansas will probably welcome the road trip and continue their domination of Texas A&M with a big road win.

The following week the Hogs have to travel to Auburn, Alabama. The War Eagle Tigers have a chance to put together a strong season, but as we noted earlier this week they have a pretty strong home field advantage. Even if Auburn stumbles out of the blocks they’re a tough out at home. I feel like this is where the Hogs finally take their first loss. It’ll be an easy loss to explain to voters in November, so this may not be much more than cosmetic – as long as Arkansas beats LSU.

At the end of the Second Quarter, Arkansas should have a 5-1 record.

 

Third Quarter

  • v. Kentucky
  • v. Ole Miss (Little Rock)
  • v. Tulsa (Homecoming)

Kentucky was the second trap game I identified earlier this summer. It could be a tough bounce-back game, especially if Arkansas faces significant injuries after six consecutive weeks of football. After two weeks on the road, my hunch is a Razorback home crowd rejuvenates the team as the Hogs slide into their open week bowl-eligible at 6-1. After a week to rest the Hogs head to Little Rock for their second and final central Arkansas visit of the 2012 campaign against Mississippi. Hugh Freeze would love to bring the Rebels back across The River and to steal a win, but a rested Razorback team should crush a thoroughly overmatched Mississippi squad. A week later I expect Arkansas to face an early test before salting away a big win over Tulsa. That’s homecoming week in Fayetteville, and the parties should get off to a good start with a Razorback win.

At the end of the Third Quarter, Arkansas should have an 8-1 record.

 

Fourth Quarter

  • at South Carolina
  • at Mississippi State
  • v. LSU

This is man football. All three will be ranked when Arkansas plays them. At least two of them will likely be Top 15 if not Top 10 teams. And Arkansas has to travel to two of them. This is the stretch where Arkansas earns or loses its BCS bowl game.

History is on Arkansas’s side in Columbia, South Carolina. The Razorbacks humiliated ol’ Cocky in 2006 and 2010. If last night’s offensive pillow fight with Vanderbilt is an omen, Steve Spurrier will once again be throwing his visor all season thanks to lingering offensive ineptitude. South Carolina hasn’t defeated Arkansas since 2008, and it may be a few more years before it happens the next time.

Heading to Starkville, though, sends shivers down my spine. I think back to the 1998 loss, when everything was lining up for Arkansas to head back to Atlanta to avenge the loss to Tennessee. I think back to two near-losses in 2006 and 2010, both of which would have smashed successful seasons. And I think about how Dan Mullen has quietly built a very competitive team in Starkville. With a very, very favorable schedule the Bulldogs could easily be sitting at 8-2 when Arkansas visits. The thought of a 10-win season and finally getting over the hump versus Arkansas should motivate Mississippi State to play its best football of the season. Because this is a “positive” column, let’s say Arkansas manages to hold them off and win. That would set up the biggest of big games.

LSU finally heads to Fayetteville. It’s hard to imagine LSU has more than two losses at this point, and maybe just one – or none. If things go according to plan, Arkansas will enter at 10-1 with a chance to win the SEC West on the line. It’s the day after Thanksgiving and could definitely be a #1 v. #2 matchup in the Ozarks. Give me the Hogs in this scenario. Tyler Wilson, Knile Davis, and Tank Wright have earned the right for me to give them the benefit of the doubt if this scenario plays out.

At the end of the Fourth Quarter, Arkansas should have an 11-1 record.

 

Overtime

If we’re defining a “good” season here, overtime won’t matter. Winning the SEC West at 11-1 makes 2012 a good season. Winning the SEC overall and a BCS game makes it great. While I won’t be satisfied at the time, for now I’m happy to settle for good.

Feel free to post your predictions in the comments section. Adam will be along before kickoff to wear the black hat and spell out what a bad season looks like for Arkansas.

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Preseason BlogHawgs.com Select 17

Posted by Brett Kincaid on August 20, 2012

It’s finally here: the long-awaited BlogHawgs.com Select 17 Preseason Poll

Like most college football fans, we bitch and moan about college football polls only to find ourselves scouring the numbers as soon as they’re released. To make things even worse, we added our own poll to the collective noise when we launched our blog in 2009. After three full seasons, I’m convinced we’re better at this than the national media could ever hope to be.

Looking at the 2012 preseason rankings, ours closely resemble the poll already released by the Associated Press and the Coaches’ Poll. Because we understand the SEC better than most, our group astutely selected Arkansas ahead of South Carolina given the Hogs domination of the Cocks over the past several years. As a group we are more skeptical of Oklahoma and Florida State than most national voters. Both schools typically receive preseason acclaim yet fail to match that adoration with wins on the field. They play Lucy to national writers’ Charlie Brown every season. Not at BlogHawgs; while they both enjoy preseason Top 10 status both are also on very short leashes. The slightest waver will knock the Sooners and the Seminoles back to also-ran status.

At the top of the poll, defending national champion Alabama returns as the preseason #1 team in our survey. The Crimson Tide has a tough road ahead, but as it is often said – “To be The Man, you gotta beat The Man.” Arkansas gets its chance on September 15, 2012, at Reynolds Razorback Stadium. LSU starts the year at #2 just as they ended the 2011 season, but the Tigers may be even better than 2011 now that they have a quarterback that can both run AND throw. If the Tigers coaching staff can just keep him away from trouble, LSU could be in Miami next January playing for another title. Southern Cal and Oregon occupy the third and fourth position in the poll, showing that even SEC folks respect what is happening on the West Coast. Both teams look like legit contenders for college football’s biggest prize. Georgia rounds out the Top 5 but not by much. With no SEC West heavyweights on their schedule, a single loss could cost the Bulldogs mightily.

We’re inside 2 weeks, football fans. It’s almost here. Without further ado, here’s a look at the Select 17:

Rank Team Votes
1 Alabama (4) 147
2 LSU (3) 138
3 USC (2) 125
4 Oregon 115
5 Georgia 107
6 Oklahoma 103
7 Arkansas 100
8 Florida St. 85
9 Michigan 77
10 South Carolina 75
11 Wisconsin 70
12 West Virginia 63
13 Michigan St. 45
14 Clemson 28
15 Nebraska 21
16 Stanford 18
17 Ohio St. 17

Others Receiving Votes: Virginia Tech 14, Texas 7, Texas A&M 7, Florida 4, Kansas State 4, Oklahoma State 4, TCU 2, Boise St. 1

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NWA Finally Gets Its Wish. Now What?

Posted by Brett Kincaid on August 5, 2012

This is the fourth in our 30 Thoughts on Razorback Football in 30 Days

After 20 years of tradition, the LSU v. Arkansas football game has moved from Little Rock to Fayetteville. The annual regular season ending game – which also may be in doubt – has been played in Arkansas’s capitol city in even-numbered years since the Razorbacks entered the Southeastern Conference. The rationale was simple: on Thanksgiving weekend it’s easier to fill War Memorial Stadium than Reynolds Razorback Stadium – especially in lean years. The formula has worked as each game has been a sellout and produced several exciting finishes. From the 2002 Miracle on Markham to the 2000 game where Brandon Holmes had a breakout performance to the 2008 season-ending upset to cap Casey Dick’s career, Arkansas has a lot of memories of packed houses and upset wins over the Bayou Bengals.

In the newly redesigned SEC, though, things change. That means LSU now has to make the trip all the way to Northwest Arkansas to play in front of 20,000 additional fans (assuming everyone shows up the day after Thanksgiving) at the Hogs on-campus venue. If all goes right, this could be a huge showcase for the University campus and a “truer” home-field advantage. LSU never had a problem selling their ticket allotment at War Memorial, and they probably will continue to sell all their tickets. But as a percentage of the crowd, they’ll have less of an impact in Fayetteville than in Little Rock.

The real reason must be money, which I suppose isn’t the worst reason to make the move. What irks me about it, though, is breaking with tradition. For 20 years Arkansas tried to develop a true rival in the conferences. The Battle of the Boot – hokey thought it was upon inception – has become a mainstay among college football trophy games. Families began making holiday plans around Hogs v. Tigers in Little Rock. With the game played in a central location, it certainly made it easier to keep family traditions alive in addition to football ones. That all goes away now. It’ll be easier for the University to sellout the stadium in Fayetteville with a marquee game, and they Powers That Be know the Little Rock games will sellout no matter the opponent. Such is the statewide love affair with this team.

As to whether or not the move has any real effect on the team’s record, I have no real confidence that it matters. The team’s record, though, will likely have a direct impact on how many fans show up the day after Thanksgiving in Fayetteville. If Arkansas enters the game a 10-1 or 9-2 this year, I have no doubt the LSU ticket will be as tough to get as it is in Little Rock. Should Arkansas stumble, though, and limp into the season finale at 7-4 I expect to see several empty seats – which was never a problem in Little Rock even during the dark years.

Posted in Sports | Tagged: , , , | 13 Comments »

Hogs-elujah–Football is Near; I’m So Excited I Even Did My Preseason Homework.

Posted by Adam Butler on July 19, 2012

You know it’s almost football season when hundreds of dishevelled, free-meal seeking Spartans of the Spell Check descend on Birmingham for SEC Media Days and immediately start Twitter bashing only somewhat deserving coaches while glad-handing them in the halls of the Wynfrey Hotel.

And, BlogHawgs Nation knows football season is nigh when I break out my digital bluebook and answer the pressing Hog-related questions of the day via an annual homework assignment (or two)from my long-time friend, Rev’d. Andrew C. Thompson. (Rev’d ACT)

Thankfully, it’s that time, again.

(EDITOR’S NOTE: These questions were submitted before Bobby Petrino went into the ditch and then lied A LOT. As a result, they are refreshingly free of the stench of Ridiculous Neck Brace Press Conference Gate)

Rev’d ACT: Is the Butler in? I’ve got some questions.

The Hogs’ 2011 campaign has to be considered one of the best we’ve had in the past 30 years. 11 wins, a Cotton Bowl victory, and a top 5 finish are nothing to sniff at. And that’s especially the case when you consider that our only 2 losses were to the teams who played each other for the national championship.

But just like any season, there are questions up in the air about how things will look this fall. Mr. Butler, I’m counting on you to answer them.

Clearly, the Hogs lost a talented bunch of receivers when they bid adieu to Joe Adams, Jarius Wright, and Greg Childs. Thankfully we’ve got a lot still in the cupboard, with the likes of Cobi Hamilton, Chris Gragg, Javontee Herndon, et al. Is the talent level enough to ensure that we aren’t going to see a drop-off in the passing game? And do these guys really have the gravitas of Adams and Wright? I’m worried.

AB: With today’s news that a quartet of (now former) Hogs (including WRs Marquel Wade and Maudrecus Humphrey) will no longer be with the team, I share some of your concerns. Hamilton & Gragg could be All-SEC performers, and will likely be selected for those preseason honors. The key to whether they garner the same postseason accolades may well hinge on the emergence of a few old hands, and a newcomer or two. Herndon and Julian Horton have seen live bullets, but have largely been wall flowers out of deference to Wright, Adams and Childs.

Can Herndon or Horton become a serviceable threat? I’m not sold on them. I reserve the right to immediately change my opinion on the basis of a solid outing versus a directional school.

My pick to click is JUCO transfer WR Demetrius Wilson from Glendale (AZ) Community College. I have been burned by premature excitement over JUCO transfers before (SEE Leon, Anthony, “Juice”) but Wilson looks to be capable of making an immediate impact.

Unlike most JUCO athletes, Wilson appears to be a technician. His routes are precise, and at 6’2, 170, 4.4 he has some nice measurables. He is a few biscuits from being a player who could have gone to any program in ‘Merica. Look for him to start opposite Cobi and get a shot at punt return duties.

In sum, Arkansas’ passing game will be fine if Hamilton & Gragg are as good as advertised, a 3rd receiving threat emerges, and Knile Davis’ ankles are fortified by a continuous sideline Ensure IV drip.

Rev’d ACT: Let’s assume Knile Davis stays healthy (knocking on wood furiously). How should BMFP (oops, SEE ABOVE) John L. Smith utilize him together with Dennnis Johnson and Ronnie Wingo, Jr.? In 2010, he seemed like the kind of guy who got stronger the more carries he had. But relegating a talent like D.J. to 4 or 5 carries a game seems a waste. We need a strong running game to complement what Tyler Wilson is going to do through the air. Is it as simple as giving D.J. his handful of carries and then just letting him return kicks? (Note: Please don’t use either “broken ankle” or “bowel injury” in your response. Both make me cringe.)

AB: I apologize for the Ensure/ankle joke. Would you believe I made it before reading this question? ‘Tis true. IF the RBs stay healthy, I look for an NFL-type split (65/35?) of the carries. I could see DJ getting the 3rd series (almost like the seemingly mandatory appearance of the 2nd-teamers at the end of the 1st quarter of a NBA regular season game….nevermind–no one watches those). DJ should again be a weapon in the kicking game, unless he bowels bows out of that role (OK, THAT was unnecessary).

I expect DJ will reprise the KO return role and again do it well. Wingo should score 4-5 touchdowns on wheel routes and mop-up runs and a large portion of the Hog fans will find flaw in whatever he accomplishes, even though he made one of the biggest plays of 2011–a real season-turner.

Rev’d ACT: Talk to me about the defense. Talk to me especially about our pass rush without Jake Bequette. Talk to me about stopping the run without Jerry Franklin. And reassure me that the secondary is going to be okay without Jerico Nelson. Convince me that this new guy from Ohio State is going to take us to the place that Willy Robinson was supposed to and never did. And make me believe that the Hogs’ D is not going to be an Achilles heel for the first time in the BMFP JLS era.

AB: I actually think the defense will be better if a few thin (in terms of depth) spots are not exposed by the injury bug. As for the first of your specific concerns, the Hogs are counting on strength in numbers at DE. They have recruited the position heavily and have metamorphosed it into one that looks like a SEC-caliber unit getting off of the bus.

JUCO transfer Austin Flynn, if nothing else, should (along with Tyler Wilson) fill the “handsome guy that Brent Musberger calls by his first name” quota for the Hogs. It helps that he also looks like a Bequette clone in his highlight reel. Chris Smith was a beast in the Cotton Bowl and will look to show that he isn’t just a pass rusher. Trey Flowers’ Oliver Millerian wing span (focus on the Big O’s pic, not the pistol-whipping) should come in handy.

But more than anything else, the move of senior All-SEC caliber defensive end Tenarius “Tank” Wright from End to linebacker tells me the UA brain trust is comfortable with the DEs.

The LBs? Eh. There’s my concern. Franklin was a producer, albeit a sometimes frustrating one. Alonzo Highsmith has shown he can play and should be back to full strength after an injury cost him all of spring practice.

Tank is…a tank. But will he have the conditioning to avoid getting blown up? Will he have his DL’s “Six” or will he tire and all-too-often give up 6? This may be the key question with this defense.

On the back end, the secondary is sneaky good. Tevin Mitchel (no typos) isn’t such a “Little T” anymore and looks like a coachable, emerging star who has a “Tell Me What You Want Me To Do” attitude. (I’m fired.)

Darius Winston (the “Batman Carroll Memorial ‘Better Than He is Given Credit for Because of Obscene Expectations’ Award Winner) will be a pro. Book it. Eric Bennett can hit you. Ross Rasner certainly will draw obligatory white guy comparisons to Tony Bua and should make plays as a hybrid.

Defensive Coordinator Paul Haynes plans to keep it simple and put his best 11 tacklers on the field. That should help. And, while Petrino seemingly treated defense as a barely palatable, necessary evil, JLS is an old (no, really, he’s old) LB coach by trade. Translation: Attention to detail may actually become a trademark of this defense, too.

Rev’d ACT: Does Tyler Wilson emerge as an early Heisman candidate? Do we even want him to (considering the Hogs never seem to play as well when they are the favorites for anything)? And what do you think the chances are that he makes a name for himself in the NFL before Ryan Mallett does?

AB: Like any good attorney, my answer is, “it depends”. Tyler will be a Heisman candidate until Arkansas loses, so , yes, we want him to be a candidate. Once the Hogs drop a game, he will be tossed aside in favor of a much better self-promoter with an inane nickname.

Likewise, his pro potential depends on his landing spot. Luckily, he seems to have avoided picking up any small skeletons for his trophy closet that could be used to his detriment while other media darlings’ perceived transgressions are overlooked.

Yes, I understand that last sentence read like I have been hitting on the Honey Badger’s ALLEGED stash. My apologies. Look for Mallett to be touted next offseason as the next Drew Bledsoe and smoothly flipped for a few solid draft picks.

Rev’d ACT: The Hogs’ schedule looks pretty favorable this year. We’ve got LSU and Bama at home, which is a ‘must’ if we are going to have any chance to win the SEC West. The two toughest stretches are the pair of back-to-back away games – Texas A&M/Auburn and South Carolina/Miss State (which is followed by LSU, of course). What is your prediction on where we finish both in league play and overall? Is it realistic to think that we will ever beat both LSU and Bama in the same year?

AB: I currently have the Hogs pegged at 9-3 with losses to Bama, TAMU and USCE. There has been too much drama and change (to go with a bunch of road “swing” games) to run the table.

As for a Bama/LSU sweep, you are a theologian and (were?) a Prince fan….the only theologian who is/was a Prince fan.

As such, you know that forever is “a mighty long time”. But, I mean to tell you. There’s something else….recent history.

Consider: Arkansas is 8-12 versus LSU the last 20 years and 6-8 the last 14 years. Corn Dog dominance that is not, particularly when you consider that four of those losses have come by a combined 13 points.

Smelly LSU fan rhetoric notwithstanding, since 1998, Arkansas is 5-2 versus LSU in The Natural State, and one of those 2 losses was the see-saw DMac/Trindon Holliday dual that Arkansas lost by 5 points.

My point is that the Arkansas/LSU series has been much, much closer than drunken LSU fans, ESPN talking heads and Bobby Boucher would have you believe–especially in Arkansas.

Bama is a different story. They have mind control over the Hogs since Nick Saban took over in Tuscaloosa.

But, little do they know that JJ Meadors, a new recruit named Sal Monella, an actual 12th Hog on the field, Leigh Tiffin’s freshman season kicking shoe and every other whiny, loss-rationalizing, son-shooting causing Bama excuse will be on hand September 15th for the Hogs/Tide showdown in Fayetteville. If only Mike Shula would attend….

Unfortunately, though, my short answer is yes, a Bama/LSU sweep by the Hogs will happen sometime before the fall of Western Civilization, but not this Fall.

Rev’d ACT: Give me your prediction on the year in which each of these events will occur: A. The Hogs win a national championship in football; B. Razorback stadium expands to become a bowl and seat 90,000+ people; C. Regular season games are no longer played in Little Rock; D. The SEC expands again, to the dismay of millions; E. Bobby Petrino leaves the UA either for retirement or another gig; F. A Razorback wins the Heisman trophy; G. Kirk Herbstreit loses his obvious and obnoxious Big-10 bias; and H. Arkansas puts Arkansas State on the non-conference football schedule.

AB: A. The Hogs will win a NC in 2022 as a 12-seed in a 64-team playoff; B. RRS will expand to 90k in 2016. Everyone knows that the “rabid” NWA fan base will come out in droves now that (for big games) they don’t have to eschew their Saturday brunch to (not actually) drive the exhausting 2.5 hours to Little Rock and slum with the other 99%;

C. All UA games will move to NWA as soon as the current War Memorial Stadium contract expires; D. The SEC will expand again as soon as the new (currently being negotiated) SEC TV contract is no longer the envy of the CFB world;

E. (&*^!@); F. Arkansas’ first Heisman winner will be named in 2015. Altee Tenpenny. Yup, I said it, Bama fan; G. Kirk will always love the Big 10, even though the league members hate him so badly he had to move to Music City to maintain the B10 love; H. Arkansas will never schedule ASU….unless it’s Arizona State….for the same reasons ASUe won’t schedule UCA. It’s a simple cost/benefit analysis.

Rev’d ACT: Finally, a question about rivalries. One of the things the Hogs have lacked since entering the SEC in 1992 is a true football rivalry. I’ve enjoyed having South Carolina as our permanent eastern opponent, especially since Steve Spurrier became head coach there. But the geography has never made sense for it to evolve into a true rivalry game. The “Battle of the Boot” tradition with LSU was created to become a rivalry; I actually think the competitive nature of the game in recent years has done a lot to overcome the “manufactured” nature of it. But the problem we have with LSU is the same problem we always had with Texas: we think of it as much more of a rivalry than the Tigers do.

So that leads me to our new SEC colleagues in Texas A&M and Missouri. I know there’s been a lot of controversy over their entrance into the league. But look at it just from point-of-view of the potential rivalry factor! We’ve got the history with Texas A&M from SWC days (and in just a few years’ time, we will have played the Aggies more than any other single opponent). And we’ve got the border connection with Mizzou (whose campus will be closer to Fayetteville than any other SEC school). If Mike Anderson can get the basketball Hogs back into 1990s form, we’ll also have the Hoops angle with Mizzou as well.

So that’s the long way around to asking this: Do we have a true SEC rival right now? If not, do you think TAMU or Mizzou has the potential to become one? And is there any truth to the rumors that the SEC is going to make Mizzou our permanent eastern rival in the next couple of years??

AB: I think games make rivalries. A&M has/had the potential to be a Hog rival, but they went 0-for Jerry World. I anticipate they will win a few in College Station and that series will have added intrigue. But, I also think that much like when the 2 were in the SWC, A&M fans will think (yes, I am using the word loosely) they are above being Arkansas’ rival.

The Missouri series could get nasty. They will become Arkansas’ “permanent” SEC East rival next year, and a few trips up to Mizzou’s shoddy Faurot Field, coupled with the Tigers’ undeserved sense of program worth will be enough for Hog fans to want to whip the Tigers.

The problem is that Mizzou just isn’t ready for the SEC. Trust me on this. Their program is about to “Show Me” the Mediocrity. Mizzou QB James Franklin’s range of motion (shoulder surgery) has to be a big question mark, and Head Coach Gary Pinkel’s mouth is already writing checks an Auburn recruit’s Dad can’t cash, errrrr request.

See…THAT is how rivalries are made–with gratuitous, non sequiturs/shots at TWO member institutions with Tigers for mascots.

I’m in mid-season form. But for now…………. I’m spent. Thanks for reading.

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Posted in Commentary | Tagged: , , , , , | 19 Comments »

 
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