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Select 17, Week 12

Posted by Brett Kincaid on November 12, 2012

Texas A&M simultaneously pulled off its biggest win as a member of the SEC and former member of the Big XII last weekend. The Aggies and redshirt freshman superstar quarterback Johnny Manziel rocked the college football world by beating then-#1 Alabama in Tuscaloosa. In doing so they cleared the path for Kansas State to play in the BCS Championship Game. All the Wildcats have to do is take care of business this weekend at Baylor then at home against a resurgent Texas Longhorns team two days after Thanksgiving. Kansas State emerged as the #1 team in the latest BCS standings, but they have to settle for the #2 spot in most polls – including this week’s BlogHawgs.com Select 17, where Oregon reigns supreme after picking up 6 of the 9 first place votes.

The Ducks looked strong once again on Saturday at Cal. They host Stanford this weekend in another late-season test. The Civil War awaits Oregon the following week, then a date in the Pac-12 Championship Game against either UCLA or USC. Meanwhile Notre Dame responded to its lackluster performance last week against Pittsburgh by knocking off Boston College on the road. The Irish head back home to take on Wake Forest this weekend before ending its regular season in the Coliseum against Southern Cal. Notre Dame has won ugly – key word, won – but will be tested by the Trojan offensive machine.

The SEC has six teams in this week’s BCS top 10 but none of them in the top three. Two teams have to lose before the SEC champion can realistically get a shot a seventh straight BCS crown. All three teams ahead of Alabama and Georgia (also sitting with one loss and a spot secured in the SECCG) have challenging games remaining, and one slip up could open the door just enough for the nation’s most powerful conference to once again appear in the last college football game of the season.

To the numbers…

Rank Team Votes LW
1 Oregon 150 2
2 Kansas St. 147 3
3 Alabama 125 1
4 Notre Dame 121 4
5 Georgia 120 5
6 Florida 100 6
7 LSU 90 7
8 Texas A&M 87 14
9 Florida St. 82 8
10 South Carolina 69 11
11 Ohio St. 65 10
12 Clemson 58 12
13 Stanford 47 16
14 Oklahoma 30 15
15 Oregon St. 21 13
16 Nebraska 20 17
17 Louisville 15 9

Others Receiving Votes: UCLA 13, Louisiana Tech 8, Texas 6, Rutgers 3

 

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Select 17, Week 11

Posted by Brett Kincaid on November 6, 2012

The road to football Armageddon has been cleared thanks to late game heroics by Alabama and Notre Dame, a gritty home win by Kansas State, and a dominant offensive road performance by Oregon. As noted last week, all four teams have limited challenges remaining. This week, though, Bama has a suddenly tough game against Texas A&M and their high-powered offense. How will the Tide respond after an emotional win in Baton Rouge? Notre Dame travels to Chestnut Hill to face Boston College in the Catholic Bowl. Will their luck finally run out this weekend after two near/should-have-been losses at home in the past month? Kansas State hits the road this week to take on TCU, which has struggled quite a bit in its first season as a member of the Big XII. And Oregon hits the road again, this time heading to Berkeley to take on an unraveling Cal team.

If Alabama was playing on the road again this week, I’d be tempted to call for the Aggie upset. They run a completely different offense than Bama has seen this year and are playing with a ton of confidence right now. I’ll take the Aggies and 2 touchdowns (the line is currently Bama -13.5) but Bama to win. Notre Dame hasn’t looked very good offensively, but Boston College is pretty bad. The Irish should get to 10-0 this weekend. Kansas State needs to watch out for a road letdown,  but TCU’s defense – usually its strength – is one of the worst in the country this year. Bill Snyder should pick up another road win in his magical season back in Manhattan. Oregon looks to be the safest bet for a win, even if it’s on the road. The Ducks gave up a ton of points to Southern Cal, but they can easily score enough to beat a 3-7 California team with what most believe is a lame duck coach.

Georgia made up a lot of ground this weekend, narrowing the gap between them and Notre Dame to just one point in our poll. The Bulldogs play their annually rivalry game with Auburn this week, needing only a win against the pathetic War Damn Eagle Tigers to cinch the SEC East. A Bulldog win coupled with another lackluster Irish performance against a lousy team could knock Notre Dame down to a peg despite their undefeated record. Despite having 4 teams in the Top Ten, the SEC is just one Alabama loss from being a long shot to play for its 7th consecutive BCS championship.

To the numbers…

Rank Team Votes LW
1 Alabama (9) 153 1
2 Oregon 142 2
3 Kansas St. 137 3
4 Notre Dame 113 4
5 Georgia 112 6
6 Florida 100 7
7 LSU 89 5
8 Florida St. 83 8
9 Louisville 81 9
10 Ohio St. 70 10
11 South Carolina 62 12
12 Clemson 61 11
13 Oregon St. 45 13
14 Texas A&M 42 16
15 Oklahoma 31 17
16 Stanford 28 14
17 Nebraska 10 NR

 

Others Receiving Votes: Louisiana Tech 7, UCLA 7, Rutgers 2, Texas 1, Luck of the Irish 1

 

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BlogHawgs Heisman 5+1

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 18, 2012

Be sure to follow @Heisman5plus1 on Twitter

Does Aaron Murray keep track of the +1? He evidently does and showed us by putting up a monster game right when we declared he would drop off because he doesn’t have big stats. Johnathan Franklin continues to impress. Barkley doesn’t. Geno Smith continues his push to become the second best Tecmo Bowl quarterback ever behind Randall Cunningham. And finally, we have two quarterbacks who can hurt you as much with their arms as they can with their legs. No, one of them is not Denard Robinson (do you know he plays without tying his shoelaces?). We’re holding out until Denard plays well against a quality opponent despite the +1’s man crush on him the past two years.

1. Johnathan Franklin, RB, UCLA (541 yards rushing, 8.2 ypc, 3 TD’s; 121 yards receiving, 1 TD) J Franklin remains at the top after posting another outstanding game. It wasn’t 2-hundy, but then again, we’d be asking him to do something that hasn’t been seen since the days of Marshall Faulk at San Diego State.

2. Aaron Murray, QB, Georgia (842 yards passing, 63.8%, 8 passing TD’s, 2 rushing TDs, 2 INT’s) Murray threw for 342 yards on 14 completions while only attempting 19 passes. That’s a whopping… somewhere around 20 yards per completion. (Give me a break. I’m the +1, not the Stat Geek) Murray has been tested on the road and now has his chance to shine playing top notch opponents in conference play.

3. Geno Smith, QB, WVU (734 yards passing, 88.0%, 9 TD’s, 0 INT’s) Geno is putting up Tecmo Bowl numbers. (where have we heard that before? Oh yeah, here, when the +1 predicted RG3 to win the Heisman in the pre-season last year. Have I mentioned that before?) However, as with the rest of the country, the +1 is ready for West Virginia to begin conference play.

4. Braxton Miller, QB, Ohio State (611 yards passing, 61.5%, 7 TD’s, 2 INT’s; 377 yards rushing, 5 TD’s) Braxton has great stats and hasn’t really loaded up on Division II (or whatever they are called now) cupcakes. Miami of Ohio (a rivalry game), Central Florida and Cal are all respectable opponents. Miller needs to show he can throw accurately when he starts facing some tough Big 10 opponents to stay on the +1.

5. Matt Scott, QB, Arizona (995 yards passing, 71.5%, 7 TD’s, 1 INT; 190 yards rushing, 2 TD’s) Scott has a marquee win on his resume by beating Oklahoma State. Ok, maybe beating Okie State is not marquee, but it’s a good win. The +1 has a sneaky feeling that Scott will put up ridiculous stats.

Rich Rod

+ league where it appears only one team (Stanford) plays defense

= Big time QB numbers

+1. Matt Barkley, QB, USC (813 yards passing, 60.6%, 10 TD’s, 3 INT’s)

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Select 17 – Week 4

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 17, 2012

After three weeks of play in the 2012 season, it once again looks like the SEC’s national title to lose. With Southern Cal’s loss at Stanford this week, the Alabama Crimson Tide and LSU Tigers have solidified their respective #1 and #2 spots in all the major polls. Of course, we had that right at the BlogHawgs.com Select 17 for a while now. For the third week in a row, Alabama is the unanimous #1 team in the Select 17 and LSU the unanimous Number Two. Oregon, currently #3, and Florida State – now #5 – look to be the two biggest threats to an all-SEC BCS final again this year. With #4 Georgia looking strong early and #14 Florida emerging as a real threat, the SEC Champion could face the runner up from either SEC division this year if no one else emerges as a legit title threat.

The Ducks do look strong, though, and they deserve their #3 status. West Virginia and Oklahoma appear to be the cream of the Big XII crop, although Kansas State may have something to say about that this weekend when the Wildcats travel to Norman. Stanford looks to once again play the role of dark horse contender, and Notre Dame is lurking after its quality win at East Lansing on Saturday.

Absent from the poll? Our Arkansas Razorbacks. If this was a Most Disappointing Teams of 2012 poll, I think we’d finally have a consensus #1 team in Fayetteville.

To the numbers…

Rank Team Votes LW
1 Alabama (9) 153 1
2 LSU 144 2
3 Oregon 132 4
4 Georgia 121 5
5 Florida St. 110 6
6 West Virginia 105 8
7 Oklahoma 94 7
8 South Carolina 88 9
9 Stanford 87 17
10 Clemson 80 11
11 Kansas St. 46 13
12 Southern Cal 42 3
13 Texas 35 14
14 Florida 31 NR
15 Notre Dame 29 NR
16 Ohio St 23 16
17 TCU 20 NR

Others Receiving Votes: Michigan 15, Louisville 8, Mississippi State 5, UCLA 4, Arizona 1, Virginia Tech 1, Alabama JV 1

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BlogHawgs Heisman 5 + 1

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 11, 2012

Be sure to follow @Heisman5plus1 on Twitter

For all of its non-movement last week, The BlogHawgs Heisman 5 + 1 had movement up and down the board with lots of new faces.   You want to impress the +1?  Average 200+ yards rushing per game.  Approach a quarterback rating of 200.  Be someone who can score every time you touch the ball like Tim Brown.  That’s how you make this list.

The +1 was highly disappointed with the no-shows and departures of beasts like Montee Ball, Marcus Lattimore and Knile Davis and a “no-so-great” second game from La’Veon Bell.  Heck, Geno Smith made the +1 and he didn’t even play last week.  How’s that work?

1. Johnathan Franklin, RB, UCLA  (431 yards rushing, 10.5 ypc, 3 TD’s; 63 yards receiving, 1 TD) Franklin was nothing more than a blip on the +1’s radar after blistering Rice for over 2-hundy.  However, he shoots up to the top faster than even Cam Newton after dropping another 2-hundy on Nebraska.

2. Matt Barkley, QB, USC  (559 yards passing, 67.6%, 10 TD’s) Although he threw 1 pick, Matt found the endzone 6 times and a 10 to 1 touchdown to interception ratio is salty.  Barkley has a few marquee games against Oregon and suddenly upstart UCLA team where he could really shine as well.

3. Marqise Lee, WR, USC (263 yards receiving, 4 TD’s; 23 yards rushing; 35 yards per kickoff return, 1 TD) Marqise may not even be the best playmaker on his own team, but great overall numbers like these are what gets non-quaterbacks/running backs Heisman attention.

4. Tyler Bray, QB, Tennessee (643 yards passing, 73.8%, 6 TD’s) Tyler has played a legit program in NC State and lit them up just like he did UT’s cupcake opponent Georgia State.  He is also sporting a gigantic “King Kong Bundy-esque” 194.8 quarterback rating.

5.  Aaron Murray, QB, Georgia  (500 yards passing, 60.7%, 6 TD’s) Murray reminds me a bit of Andrew Luck (minus the James Earl Jones voice)  He fits in perfect for the Georgia’s conservative and productive offense.  However, just like Luck, he’s not going to put up the stats that pop your eyes out and think “That dude’s gonna win the Heisman.”

+1. Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia 

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Welcome to the SEC

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 4, 2012

We’re catching up today at the BlogHawgs.com world headquarters after a long weekend of football. Five consecutive days of college football – and dodging the Honey Do Lists in order to watch – have us exhausted. Like much of the Razorback secondary, we are not quite in game shape just yet.

The good news, though, is (to borrow a phrase from my idol Tony Kornheiser) the gods provide. Both Texas A&M and Missouri enter the SEC fray this weekend, and both schools have provided some extra motivation for their visitors. The fine folks in College Station – who appear to have more money than brains – poked the tiger … or the Gator in this instance.

A Texas-sized Sense of Humor

 

This is more clever than stupid, but I still believe it’s ill advised. Texas A&M opened this week as a slight home favorite against Florida. Now that this has come to light, I wouldn’t be surprised to see that line shrink just a bit.

As for Missouri – and more specifically DT Sheldon Richardson – stupidity reigns supreme. When asked about playing host to re-emerging SEC East powerhouse Georiga, Richardson quipped:

“I watched that game. I turned it off, too. .. It’s like watching Big Ten football. It’s old-man football. If we execute,” he added, “nobody in this league can touch us. Period.”

Kickoff in Columbia is 6:45pm CDT this Saturday. Methinks our friends in Athens are quite aware of that fact. As old men, though, perhaps they’ve forgotten.

WARNING: Any Sandusky jokes regarding the “…nobody in this league can touch us,” quote will immediately be deleted. I’m looking at you, Gooch.

 

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What Others Think of the Hogs

Posted by Brett Kincaid on August 24, 2012

This is the 22nd in our series 30 Thoughts About Razorback Football in 30 Days leading up to the 2012 Kickoff.

Let’s take a moment to see what others have to say about Razorback football this season. Leading things off we turn to CBS Sports’ Tracy Wolfson who sat down with starting quarterback Tyler Wilson for an extended preseason interview.


Sticking with CBS, they predict another strong season for the Hogs but not as strong as many of us would like. Arkansas enters the season at #11 in their poll. In house guru Jerry Palm predicts another Cotton Bowl visit for Arkansas in January. They pick up on a familiar theme:

The key will be how the defense performs. It looked good in the win over Kansas State, when new coordinator Paul Haynes took over. But it gave up a generous 167-yards-per-game rushing for the year.

“We know that to be a champion, in the past, all national champions have really stopped the run very well,” said linebacker Tenarius Wright, who spent last year at defensive end. “That’s our goal, to be able to stop the run and limit the big plays in the passing game.”

Over at the worldwide leader, ESPN’s Mark Schlabach examines the unique blend of attitude and football smarts John L. Smith brings to the table as Arkansas’s new head coach. According to Smith, he is eager to take on this season.

Like most everything else in his life, Smith has jumped headfirst into his latest challenge and expects to conquer it.

“Our football team has great expectations,” Smith said. “We know what we have to do. We have one goal and that’s to win in Miami and to be in the national championship game.”

ESPN.com also does a nice job of detailing the depth of high quality quarterbacks currently in the SEC. Arkansas’s Tyler Wilson leads the list, but there are several others – led by Aaron Murray of Georgia – that have elevated their games.

“This is always going to be known as a defensive league,” said Arkansas senior quarterback Tyler Wilson, who’s positioned at the head of the SEC’s quarterback class going into the season. “With the caliber of defenses we go against each week in the SEC, we’re not going to consistently put up some of the numbers on offense you see around the rest of the country.

…

Wilson was one of eight SEC quarterbacks invited last month to the Manning Passing Academy, which has showcased some of the country’s top quarterbacks for most of the past two decades.

 

Finally, we turn back to CBS to find an interesting crew – including Ron Zook, who may become an excellent commentator – take a look at the SEC and the teams/players to watch this fall.

 

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Preseason BlogHawgs.com Select 17

Posted by Brett Kincaid on August 20, 2012

It’s finally here: the long-awaited BlogHawgs.com Select 17 Preseason Poll

Like most college football fans, we bitch and moan about college football polls only to find ourselves scouring the numbers as soon as they’re released. To make things even worse, we added our own poll to the collective noise when we launched our blog in 2009. After three full seasons, I’m convinced we’re better at this than the national media could ever hope to be.

Looking at the 2012 preseason rankings, ours closely resemble the poll already released by the Associated Press and the Coaches’ Poll. Because we understand the SEC better than most, our group astutely selected Arkansas ahead of South Carolina given the Hogs domination of the Cocks over the past several years. As a group we are more skeptical of Oklahoma and Florida State than most national voters. Both schools typically receive preseason acclaim yet fail to match that adoration with wins on the field. They play Lucy to national writers’ Charlie Brown every season. Not at BlogHawgs; while they both enjoy preseason Top 10 status both are also on very short leashes. The slightest waver will knock the Sooners and the Seminoles back to also-ran status.

At the top of the poll, defending national champion Alabama returns as the preseason #1 team in our survey. The Crimson Tide has a tough road ahead, but as it is often said – “To be The Man, you gotta beat The Man.” Arkansas gets its chance on September 15, 2012, at Reynolds Razorback Stadium. LSU starts the year at #2 just as they ended the 2011 season, but the Tigers may be even better than 2011 now that they have a quarterback that can both run AND throw. If the Tigers coaching staff can just keep him away from trouble, LSU could be in Miami next January playing for another title. Southern Cal and Oregon occupy the third and fourth position in the poll, showing that even SEC folks respect what is happening on the West Coast. Both teams look like legit contenders for college football’s biggest prize. Georgia rounds out the Top 5 but not by much. With no SEC West heavyweights on their schedule, a single loss could cost the Bulldogs mightily.

We’re inside 2 weeks, football fans. It’s almost here. Without further ado, here’s a look at the Select 17:

Rank Team Votes
1 Alabama (4) 147
2 LSU (3) 138
3 USC (2) 125
4 Oregon 115
5 Georgia 107
6 Oklahoma 103
7 Arkansas 100
8 Florida St. 85
9 Michigan 77
10 South Carolina 75
11 Wisconsin 70
12 West Virginia 63
13 Michigan St. 45
14 Clemson 28
15 Nebraska 21
16 Stanford 18
17 Ohio St. 17

Others Receiving Votes: Virginia Tech 14, Texas 7, Texas A&M 7, Florida 4, Kansas State 4, Oklahoma State 4, TCU 2, Boise St. 1

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HypocriSECy

Posted by Adam Butler on November 2, 2011

I could only shake my head yesterday when the news came down from the SEC office that University of Arkansas wide receiver Marquel Wade has been suspended by the league for Saturday’s Top 10 tilt with South Carolina because of his personal foul in last week’s victory over Vanderbilt.

It was just the latest in a long line of uneven decisions by a conference that protects its sacred cows and treats others like tripe.

To be sure, Wade’s hit on Vandy punt returner Jonathan Krause, at first blush, looked as dirty as they come. Tack on Wade’s post-hit behavior, and I can understand why and how he was ejected from the Vanderbilt game (although I think it was the wrong decision given the way the SEC has handled similar plays).

The hit looked dirty. It was vicious. Wade appeared to celebrate the injury (although more likely, as he said, he was celebrating the play and what he thought was a favorable outcome) 20,000 Vandy fans were screaming for an ejection, and Wade was mouthing.

A closer look, though, suggests that while Wade’s hit was early, and deserved a penalty, and his actions following it were improvident, malicious intent may well have been lacking.

Krause appeared to shade his eyes from the sun rather than call for a fair catch. At full speed (about 20 MPH for a guy with Wade’s 4.3 speed, going full tilt) it all happened quickly, and was complicated by Krause making a late movement toward Wade. It literally happened as quickly as the blink of an eye.

Wade likely saw Krause’s hands come down to make the catch in unison with the passing of the shadow of the ball, and thought he timed the hit perfectly. Wade said as much in the apology that he made, yesterday.

The officials appeared to agree, in part, at least regarding the lack of a fair catch call, because the ball was live and was returned upfield (and VU declined the the penalty). I think he flipped out because no one would listen to his version of events. But, he definitely should not have done so. It made a bad situation much worse. (That said….listen closely…is it just me, or is the “yapping” yapping that Wade is doing with Coach Veltkamp not him saying “I didn’t know that, Coach, that’s what I am trying to tell you!”.)

As a result, Wade was ejected, and now suspended, for a “flagrant personal foul”. But, let’s be real. He’s in hot water because he made the hit THEN acted badly following the hit (on the field and on the sidelines). Would he have been ejected and suspended if he was wearing Crimson and White instead of Cardinal and White?

Given SEC precedent, who knows? I guess the answer, for the SEC, depends upon which uniform you are wearing. If it’s Bama, you get a flag, but no ejection.

If it’s Auburn, you can make repeated dirty hits on the same player, almost start several brawls, celebrate at midfield with one of your coaches, and get a flag and a “private reprimand” during a season filled with dirty hits.

If Wade deserves a suspension, what about the Vanderbilt defender who tackled Arkansas’ Jarius Wright to the ground by the facemask after spinning him completely around with it (drawing 4 flags) ? It was flagrant and had every bit as much intent as Wade’s hit.

What about the Vandy Defensive Lineman who led with the crown of his helmet and made a helmet-to-helmet hit on Arkansas quarterback Tyler Wilson while making a sack that did not draw a penalty?
Where is the precedent for suspension resulting from unsportsmanlike conduct following a personal foul? (Tony Bua Chris Leak wants to know)
The answers to these questions are self-evident. As we have seen all-too many times, SEC Justice isn’t blind, it’s blurry. That’s HypocriSECy.

It makes one wonder if the SEC would suspend this kid. It looks like old school football to me.

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Not a Strong Start

Posted by Brett Kincaid on September 12, 2011

It could be worse.

I hate it when I’m wrong.  It’s rare that I admit that I’m wrong.  I will debate for hours on end, even if I know I’m not correct.  Today I have to admit it, though; I was wrong – at least so far.  That’s about as much as you’ll get out of me in September regarding preseason predictions.

Heading into 2011 I was very high on the Georgia Bulldogs.  I anticipated Mark Richt’s squad would win one of their first two games – and honestly thought they might win both – against Boise St. and South Carolina.  The Dawgs hung with Boise for a half then wilted late.  They showed tremendous heart against South Carolina, but ultimately talent won the day.  As much as I respect Richt, I must admit that coaching plays a huge role in both of those losses.  His kids simply didn’t have what they needed to get the jobs done the past two Saturdays.

Here is what I wrote about the Georgia Bulldogs on September 2:

Georgia – Mark Richt will turn it around this year, and it could be a remarkable turnaround at that.  While I see a path to an unbeaten season, I’m not about to go down that road.  All the Bulldogs road games are ones they can win, but the lack of depth at RB and development of new receivers creates too much doubt for me to make the big, bold prediction.  They’ll probably end up dropping one of those roadies and stumble at home against Mississippi State.  Predicted Finish:  9-3, 6-2

What I seem to have overestimated was the Georgia growth on defense.  I really expected to see some maturation this year under Todd Grantham.  The results have been very similar to what Bulldogs fans have expected the past few years.  Their first two opponents have churned out just short of 800 yards of combined total offense, while scoring an average of 40 points per contest – ranking Georgia 111th in the country in scoring defense.

Offensively the Bulldogs have shown some life.  They put up 436 yards last week against a quality SEC defense and topped 370 yards against Boise St.  The Bulldogs are scoring points.  Like the last few years, though, they are not stopping the other team from getting on the board.

The problem for Georgia – in addition to the obvious – is the schedule looks quite less friendly than it did 2 weeks ago.  They catch a breather with Coastal Carolina this weekend, but then host Mississippi State before back-to-back road games against Tennessee (and their suddenly high-powered offense ) and Vanderbilt (2-0 to start the year for the first time since Jay Cutler).  Sprinkle in a trip to Ole Miss, and Georgia now looks to be in desperation.

I’m not counting the Bulldogs out just yet.  There is a lot of football to be played.  But I must admit that I’m not seeing the type of Georgia team I expected to see.

Auburn is another group I misjudged pretty badly.  Their win over Mississippi State can hardly be described as a shocker, but I fully expected the Bulldogs to go win that football game.  We learned that MSU isn’t quite the team I expected, but more importantly we learned that Auburn has the spirit of a champion.  As much as I dislike the Barners, I must admit that I am very impressed by the work Gene Chizik has produced.  The team is far from as talented as they were last year, but these guys fight.  I still believe they will struggle for bowl eligibility, but a win on the road at Clemson will force a full out mea culpa from yours truly.

The good news – for me at least – is that we’re only 2 weeks into the football season.  September predictions are good for little more than an exercise in futility come December, but no one like to see his predictions get torched so early.  I think Georgia will rally, but winning the SEC East looks like a long shot at this point.  And Auburn is probably still going to struggle to win 7 games this year, but they do have the heart of a champion.  It’s time we all recognize that and start to give Chizik the respect he deserves.

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