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Superior Gene Pool? –2009 Auburn Preview

Posted by Brett Kincaid on July 27, 2009

Auburn TigersEighty-five wins in 10 years, including a perfect season, would often guarantee a coach some legitimate job security.  Considering that winning tradition was built in the toughest conference in America, you can’t blame Tommy Tuberville for wondering what more he could have done. 

The reality is that given the Renaissance in Tuscaloosa and Georgia’s recent success, Auburn’s administration felt like time was of the essence.  Shortly after AU’s 36-0 loss to then-#1 Bama, Tuberville submitted his resignation, and an era of uncommon stability came to an end.

Fast forward 8 months and Gene Chizik is talking about rebuilding a once-proud program.  Last yearGene Chizik’s 5-7 record hangs over Toomer’s Corner like toilet paper once did after meaningful wins.  Excitement for the future centers around the architect of the 2004 defense that led Auburn to a perfect season and one of the brightest stars in offensive football coaching.   “We feel like we’ve assembled one of the best coaching staffs in the country, certainly in the league,” said Chizik at the SEC Media Days. 

Skeptics will say “You better!” given Chizik’s embarrassingly weak resume as a head coach.  No one believes it is easy to win at Ames, Iowa, but Dan McCartney had done pretty well.  Chizik, on the other hand, won five games in two years with one of those coming against a Division I-AA school (South Dakota State).  His Iowa State teams won 2 conference games in two seasons.  And this is the mastermind that is supposed to restore Auburn’s football tradition?

Chizik has turned the offense over to former Arkansas and Tulsa offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn.  No one is making high school jokes about Malzahn, now.  The former Springdale (Ark.) High School head coach showed flashes of brilliance in his turbulent season as the Razorback offensive coordinator in 2006.  In two seasons at Tulsa, Malzahn Gus Malzahnwas able to fully unleash his hurry-up, spread attack.  He is now prepared to take his second swing at SEC defenses.  “I feel very strongly in the efforts of running the football,” says Chizik.  Malzahn’s teams at Tulsa certainly did that, although the look will not remind Tiger fans much of the days of Bo Jackson. 

The central question on The Plains is, “Who will drive this new offensive machine?”  Kodi Burns comes back for another turn, having been recruited by Malzahn while he was in Fayetteville.  Many feel like his time has passed, though.  Junior Neil Caudle will probably start the season opener against Louisiana Tech.  He is the superior passer of the two, although Burns can make things happen with his legs.  Both could end up watching highly-touted newcomer Tyrik Rollison.  The Texan was regarded as one of the best dual threat QBs coming out of high school, and Malzhan certainly prefers a mobile quarterback.

Ben TateBen Tate is back to carry the load in the backfield after a frustrating second-half of the season last year.  Ontario McCaleb will push Tate and likely see some carries.  Malzahn had the luxury of McFadden and Jones at Arkansas, and proved he could use two superstars effectively.  Tate and McCaleb are far from those two NFL stars, but they can both expect to have some fun in this offense.

The receiving corps will get plenty of work this year – if the Tigers can find someone to throw the ball to them.  The real focus, though, is on the freshmen.  DeAngelo Benton and Emory Blake project as future stars in the SEC.  Coach Chizik hopes they can hit the ground running right away.  “We hope they (Blake and Benton) can step up to the plate and help our offense this year,” he said.  There are some playmakers on campus, too, with Mario Fannin, Davin Adams, and Tim Hawthorne ready to lead the way while the young pups get acclimated to life in the SEC.  Look for Tommy Trott to be a leader for the entire offense, too.  The tight end can provide a great example for both the new pass catchers and the big uglies that will need to get dirty each week in the trenches.

Coach Chizik says Auburn “want(s) to create a physical brand of football,” and he has an offensive line that can help.  Big Lee Ziemba (6’ 8”, 304 lbs) broke the hearts of many Razorback fans when he left northwest Arkansas for Auburn.  Now, he’s a leader of the Auburn line.  The Tigers have an experienced group coming back this season with all five projected starters having gone through the SEC wars as either a starter or backup last year.  They will need to be quicker and in peak physical condition to handle the hurry-up, spread attack of Malzahn.

Former Duke Head Coach Ted Roof takes over as the defensive coordinator at Auburn, but don’t expect him to be alone in the meeting rooms and film sessions.  Coach Chizik will have a tremendous influence on a group that played well despite getting no help from its offense last year.  Senior Antonio Coleman leads the defensive front Antonio Colemanafter surprising some by opting to come back for his fifth season.  According to Coleman “this has been the hardest summer of my life”, referring to the rigorous off-season training he and his mates have endured.  Expect Mike Blanc to anchor the interior line this season after spending the past few years as a backup.

Walt McFadden is back in the secondary, and his teammates will look to him to lead after the early exit of Jerraud Powers to the NFL.  Strong safety Zac Etheridge hopes to make the leap in his junior season to one of the best in the SEC if he can stay healthy.

OUTLOOK

It is never easy to rebuild in the SEC.  Just look at what happened in Fayetteville last season.  And, that was with a proven, successful coach at the helm.  The Tigers have their work cut out for them this season.  Making it to a bowl game seems reasonable, but I also would not be stunned if this group took awhile to come together and built slowly like the Hogs did in 2008.  Auburn’s defense, though, could give the Tigers a chance to hang around and win some they would otherwise likely lose.

September looks pretty manageable with the most dangerous game coming first.  Louisiana Tech is no joke, and I’m not sure I would want to break in a new offense and coaching staff against this squad coming off an Independence Bowl win–just ask Mississippi State what they think about the boys from Ruston.  That said, this should be an Auburn win that starts a four-game home stand to start the year.  Wins over Mississippi State, a declining West Virginia team, and Ball State should follow. 

October starts with an awful two-game road test that should send the Tigers back to Jordan-Hare 5-1 at best.  I’d look for both Tennessee and Arkansas to defend the home turf, but winning one of those two is not the longest of shots.  Auburn returns home for a dangerous game against Kentucky before they head to LSU.  Ole Miss comes to town on Halloween to end a brutal month for Auburn.

November starts with a breather against Division I-AA Furman before the trip up to Athens to take on Georgia in what is always an entertaining game.  Mercifully, the Tigers get an open week before the Iron Bowl on the Friday after Thanksgiving.

Most likely:  Auburn has some growing pains offensively, but finds its way back to the post-season at 7-5.

With a lucky break:  If Auburn pulls off the back-to-back wins over Tennessee and Arkansas and avoids the upset against Kentucky, a 9-3 season could be there for the taking.

Best case scenario:  Winning at Georgia could get this group to 10 wins.

Bold prediction:  Auburn wins the Iron Bowl this year.

Posted in SEC Preview, Sports | 11 Comments »

Gamecocks Heading North, or South? 2009 South Carolina Preview

Posted by Adam Butler on July 26, 2009

nationalchamps.netWhen South Carolina went out in 2004 and picked up the Porsche 911 of college football coaches, Steve Spurrier, no one could blame the Gamecocks fan base for dreaming about putting the top down, cranking up “2001 A Space Odyssey” and cruising to Atlanta for the SEC Championship game on a regular basis.

Now, as Spurrier enters his fifth season in Columbia, with a record of 28-22 overall and 15-17 in the SEC (and no more than 8 wins in a season), even Spurrier seems to understand why a segment of the eminently loyal Gamecocks fan base is suffering from a bit of buyer’s remorse.

Refreshingly unable or unwilling to mince words,  Spurrier appeared to acknowledge that this is a pivotal year for his regime once the breathless Woodward and Bernsteins at the SEC Media Days finally took a break from grilling him about Tebowgate to talk about his team.

“I feel very fortunate to be coming into my 17th (season in the SEC),” he said. “ (I) just hope to make it next year. But if it doesn’t go pretty well, change is part of the coaching profession. We all understand that. We understand it happens.” 

He also seemed to suggest that he has lingering doubts, as well.  When asked about league head coaching newcomers “stirring” the pot as he had been one to do during his salad days as Florida head coach, Spurrier was, per the usual, brutally honest, even at his own expense.

“In life when you’re winning a lot, you’re winning sort of big, you naturally do that,” he said at SEC Media Days.  “ I’m not the only coach that has done that. And then when you’re 7-6, like I am now, you don’t have much to say. That’s just the way it is. I’m a 7 and sort of 6 coach right now. I don’t have all the answers and don’t pretend to.”

To be sure, Spurrier sees that the “Check Engine” light is on, and is searching for answers.  He hasn’t just tuned up the coaching staff–he has rebuilt it–with five new assistants and a new strength and conditioning coach.

New Running Game Coordinator and Offensive Line coach Eric Wolford will have his work cut out for him as he inherits a group that, while experienced, will have to shake off the demons from its 70 sacks allowed the last two seasons, combined.

Spurrier thinks he is up to the task on the sideline and on the recruiting trail, and has lauded Wolford as a rainmaker in the hunt for new talent.

The Old Ball Coach “sort of stole” (his words) new assistant coach Lorenzo Ward from Arkansas and Bobby Petrino, and in doing so, added another dynamic recruiter that has a wealth of experience, having played at Alabama, coached in the NFL (Oakland), SEC (Arkansas) and ACC and Big East (Virginia Tech, 7 seasons).

Ward was attracted by the opportunity to technically take over the defense coordinator position, a move that was made possible by the willingness of South Carolina native and veteran of SEC wars (and quick, but understandable, defections from the Arkansas staff) Ellis Johnson to vacate the title.

Johnson now holds the title of Assistant Head Coach and assistant coach in charge of the defense and linebackers. 

Also joining the staff are former Tennessee Volunteer running back Jay Graham (running backs), Jeep Hunter (tight ends) G.A. Mangus (Quarterbacks) and Craig Fitzgerald (Strength & Conditioning).

The good news for Spurrier and his assistants on the offensive side of the ball is that the quarterback carousel that has been an increasingly less productive staple of Spurrier-led offenses may be out the door (now if they can just work on the visor).

secallaccess.com

secallaccess.com

Sophomore Stephen Garcia (6’2 219) is the returning starter at quarterback, and he no longer has to worry about the faint odor of fresh potential pine as Chris Smelley has taken his wares to the University of Alabama baseball squad.

Garcia possesses all the tools to be a superstar, but has also displayed questionable decision-making on-and-off the field , and a work ethic that has had Spurrier openly prodding him for an increased commitment.

The struggles of the South Carolina offense a year ago cannot all be laid at Garcia’s feet, though.  In fact, the offensive line’s inability to keep him on his feet, and not his back, was a major factor in the Gamecocks’ offensive inconsistency in ‘08.

Senior Center and solid NFL prospect Garrett Anderson (6’4 307) returns to anchor the line. Given the struggles of the recent years, the waters around him may be fairly choppy. 

Former JUCO transfer Jarriel King started 11 games a year ago and seems to have the left tackle spot battened down.  Junior right tackle Hutch Eckerson (6-6, 290) has previous starting experience and should man that spot.

Lemuel Jeanpierre (6-4, 294) will be in the mix on the offensive line, as well as fellow veteran Seaver Brown  and Terrence Campbell, T.J. Johnson, and Quintin Richardson.

The “skill” positions desperately need a new leader with the departure of stalwart Kenny McKinley.  The most likely candidate is senior WR Moe Brown who is looking to become a dependable threat and lead on the field in the same way he does in the lockerroom. Junior Dion Lecorn also has experience and could emerge. Jason Barnes is a returning starter.

Weslye Saunders will start at TE, a spot that had been manned by USC’s biggest playmaker, Jared Cook. He will not be expected to match Cook’s production, but will be asked to provide a threat in the middle of the field for Garcia.  Cliff Matthews will also play tight end, but will see time at defensive end, as well.

The running backs do not currently have a home run hitter in their midst, having finished at the bottom of the league in rushing last year, but true freshman Jarvis Giles (5-11, 183) could fit that bill.

The offensive backfield could get also get a boost with the insertion of 2008 South Carolina Gatorade High School Player of the Year, Stephon Gilmore, (who projects long term as a cornerback) as the QB in the Wild Cat/Hog/Rebel/Dolphin offense. 

Gilmore is a sorely needed playmaker, and will be given plenty of opportunities to make an immediate impact.

nationalchamps.net

nationalchamps.net

On the defensive side of the ball, the secondary provides the frightening question marks, and linebacker Eric Norwood, who passed up an opportunity to head to the NFL, and the rest of the front seven, provide some of the answers.

A number of members of the Gamecocks’ ‘08 secondary made an early exit, though, and as a result, Spurrier and company will be asking some newcomers to grow up quickly. 

With All-league talent to go with their All-World names, Captain Munnerlyn, Stoney Woodson and Emmanuel Cook will be tough to replace, but the mostly likely candidate to shine is Gilmore.   Darian Stewart and Akeem Auguste are no slouches, either, and all of their efforts will be supported by Norwood and the other hosses in front of them.

In addition to Norwood, who had nine sacks last year in the shadow of departed superstar, Jasper Brinkley, Rodney Paulk is a solid breakout candidate at MLB in ‘09 after nabbing his fair share of Brinkley and Norwood’s leftovers last year.

And, a DL full of talented veterans like Matthews, Ladi Ajiboye (who had academic issues that led to his suspension, but should be eligible), Nathan Pepper and Clifton Geathers make its defense a clear team strength, even though it may be susceptible to growing pains in the secondary. 

Spencer Lanning and Adam Yates will vie for the spot vacated by one of the SEC’s biggest legs, Ryan Succop.

After getting blitzed to the tune of 118-30 in three consecutive losses to Florida, Clemson and Iowa (Outback Bowl) to end last season, the Gamecocks head right back into the fire with a September slate that features a nationally televised, Thursday night opener at N.C. State and a road trip nine days later to Georgia.

If South Carolina can beat the Wolfpack, it will have a chance to build some momentum with a rare four-week homestand that will feature Florida Atlantic, Ole Miss, South Carolina State and Kentucky.

Anything less than three wins during that stretch, though, will likely make the ride to improvement on Spurrier’s 8-win-high water mark at South Carolina a bumpy one–particularly in a Ferrari with quite a few miles on the odometer.

South Carolina Offense:

Returning starters: 7

Key Players: Stephen Garcia, QB, Moe Brown, WR, Garrett Anderson, C

One to Watch: Stephon Gilmore, QB

South Carolina  Defense:

Returning Players: 6

Key Players: Eric Norwood, LB, Ladi Ojiboye, DT, Darian Stewart, hybrid.

One to Watch: Clifton Geathers, DE

Key Game(s): @ N.C. State Sept. 3, Ole Miss Sept. 24, Florida Nov. 14, Clemson Nov. 28

Schedule/Predicted Result: (7-5)

9/3 at NC State                   W
9/12 at Georgia                   L
9/19 Florida Atlantic          W
9/24 Ole Miss                     W
10/3 SC State                      W
10/10 Kentucky                   W
10/17 at Alabama                L
10/24 Vanderbilt                 W
10/31 at Tennessee              L
11/7 at Arkansas                  L
11/14 Florida                       L
11/21 OPEN DATE
11/28 Clemson                    W

Posted in SEC Preview, Sports | 10 Comments »

Revenge of the Nerds — 2009 Vanderbilt Preview

Posted by Brett Kincaid on July 25, 2009

Vanderbilt CommodoresAfter years of futility and three excruciatingly close years, the Commodores finally broke through for a bowl game last season.  The reward for such a remarkable feat?  A trip to Nashville!  Wait…did I say trip?  I meant bus ride across town.

To be honest, those kids may have been disappointed but playing in December was a new experience.  The extra bowl practices combined with a Music City Bowl win over Boston College sent the Dores into the offseason with high hopes for continued success in 2009.  We love optimism, but the 2009 campaign will prove to be more difficult if for no other reason than Vandy can no longer sneak up on anyone.  Vanderbilt finally has the athletes on both sides of the ball to compete.  Sadly they do not have enough to win.

Vanderbilt struggled to score with any consistency last season.  There is hope for 2009, but they must see improved play at the Mackenzi Adamsquarterback position.  Senior Mackenzi Adams comes back to lead an offense that ranked 112th in passing offense and 110th in passing efficiency.  Adams completed less than 50% of his passes and only had 5 TD passes compared to 8 interceptions.  His ability to scramble and make plays saved the Commodores, but Matt Jones he is not. Larry Smith, who started the Music City Bowl, will provide competition for the QB1 spot.  Smith is more of a caretaker that can scramble when need be.  Defenses will not need to devote a safety or MLB to spy on Smith during the course of a game. 

Vandy has lots of options at running back.  The problem for them, though, is that none of these options have proven to be exceedingly good.  Jared Hankins projects as the #1 guy to start the season, just as he did in 2008.  A foot injury derailed what could have been a 1,000 yard season and limited his activity in the spring.  Kennard Reeves is a bigger back (6’0″, 202 lbs) but only carried the ball 35 times last year, most of that coming in the final regular season game against Wake Forest.  Expect coaches to limit Hankins early and try to get Reeves and Gaston Miller (5′ 7″, 175 lbs) some carries in an effort to lighten the load. 

The receiving corps looks to be an upgrade for Vanderbilt this season.  Two transfers and some more experienced talent could help the quarterbacks’ numbers.  Junior Terence Jeffers is eligible this season after sitting out 2008 per NCAA rules after transferring from UConn.  In 2007 he led the Huskies with 44 catches and has the speed to take the ball to the house.  Sophomore Udom Umoh looks to build on his performance in the Music City Bowl where he hauled in 3 passes — his only three all season.  Sophomore transfer from Minnesota, Tray Herndon could also contribute in Vanderbilt’s three-receiver sets.  Redshirt freshman Akeem Dunham, a converted defensive back, could also press for playing time.  Sophomore tight end Brandon Barden (6′ 5″, 245 lbs) led the team with 4 TD receptions in 2008.  Barden hopes to emerge as one of the elite SEC pass-catching tight ends in 2009.

All five starters on the offensive line had to be replaced in 2008, and they experienced the expected growing pains.  The group gelled, though, and now looks to be a reliable force in 2009.  The Commodores are led by senior center Bradley Vierling.  Senior right tackle Thomas Welch (6′ 7″, 310 lbs) is the star of the line.  Projected as a sure-fire NFL draft pick, Welch leads the way when Vandy decides to run to the right side.  Junior Reilly Lauer (6′ 6″, 275) is a converted DT that continues to develop on the left side.  Lean and athletic, Lauer could emerge as a real star on the left.  Senior Eric Hensley moved inside last season to take over at right guard.  He has the ability to slide outside if injuries warrant, but guard is his more natural position.  Kyle Fisher rounds out the offensive front.  A sophomore, Fisher is versatile enough to slide outside if need be although he started the final four games of 2008 at left guard.

Throughout their years of mediocrity (and that is being kind), Vanderbilt has established itself as a reliably good defensive team.  Year in and year out, the Dores put pressure on opposing offenses to execute.  Despite losing DJ Moore (Chicago) and Reshard Langford (Philadelphia) to the NFL, the Vanderbilt defense will apply pressure to SEC offenses all season.

Myron LewisThe entire front seven returns and senior CB Myron Lewis is back to lead a talented secondary.  Lewis projects as the best pro prospect on the team.  He and his secondary mates will benefit from a strong front line that will put pressure on quarterbacks.  Senior Broderick Stewart leads a very talented defensive line that will pose problems to any offense.  He missed the final two games last season with a foot injury but is ready to dominate the interior.  Also on the outside, Vanderbilt has ultra-talented senior, and Conway, AR native,  Steven Stone (6′ 5″, 272 lbs).  Stone piled up 5 sacks last season and can play the run as well as pass rush.

Senior Patrick Benoist led the team in tackles last season with 109, and he returns to anchor the linebacker corp.  Only 6-feet tall and 220 lbs, Benoist plays much bigger and with great passion.  Chris Marve handled the middle linebacker duties last year like a veteran despite playing extensively as a freshman.  His experience will only help clog the middle of the field.  John Stokes is tall and lean (6′ 5″, 228 lbs) and can move very well at the other outside position. Only an injured shoulder could slow him down last season.

As we mentioned, Lewis is the best player and group leader in the secondary.  At 6′ 3″, 205 lbs Lewis looks to join Moore in the NFL after this season.  On the other side of the field the Commodores will rely on a converted WR, sophomore Jamie GrahamRyan Hamilton finished third on the team in tackles last year from his free safety position and picked off 3 Jevan Sneed passes in the upset of Ole Miss.  Look for Hamilton to emerge as one of the SEC’s best this year.  Replacing Langford at the strong safety position is Sean Richardson, a sophomore who made a name for himself as a special teams all-star in 2008.

Vanderbilt turns to redshirt freshman Ryan Fowler to take over the placekicking duties.  Like all freshmen, Fowler will need to prove he can convert in clutch moments early to ease the fears of the Vanderbilt faithful.  Senior Brett Upson is back as the starting punter, carrying a 40.1 yard-per-punt average last season.

OUTLOOK

Vanderbilt will never be a regular contender for the SEC East crown, let alone overall SEC Championships.  That said, Bobby Johnson has built a hell of a program from virtually the ground up.  Their facilities lag far behind the rest of the SEC, their recruiting budget is laughably small, and the Commodores have no winning tradition.  Returning to a bowl game this year should be the team’sMusic City Bowl Celebration goal.  If the breaks go right, they may even get to leave Nashville for the post-season in 2009.  Navigating the typically treacherous SEC schedule could prove too much for a team with no offensive identity that relies upon its defense to win games.  Twelve games in twelve weeks will take a toll on this group, likely leaving the Commodores home for Christmas.

Vanderbilt should survive September at 2-2 with wins over Western Carolina and Rice.  Ole Miss will look to avenge last season’s embarrassing loss in Oxford.  Coach Johnson would be wise to cancel the trip to LSU if the conference will let him.  October looks like more of the same with winnable games at home against Mississippi State and on the road at Army.  Georgia and South Carolina are games where Vandy should compete, but depth in October will start to make a difference.  Georgia Tech hits Nashville on Halloween in an interesting non-conference affair.  Paul Johnson is building something in Atlanta, but you just never know what may happen with these games.  The smart money says the Jackets will be a little better and prevail, even on the road. 

November starts with a trip to Gainesville and The Swamp.  Kentucky heads to Nashville the next week, which sets up a critical game for both schools.  If Vandy has anyone left standing at this point in the season, this could be a winner.  Vanderbilt closes the season at Knoxville before finally getting their open week…about 6 weeks too late.

Most likely:  The Commodores fall to 4-8 after being worn down by a relentless schedule.

With a lucky break:  Vandy could end up 6-6 with wins over Kentucky and Georgia Tech.

Best case scenario:  8-4 with additional wins over Ole Miss and South Carolina.

Posted in SEC Preview, Sports | 5 Comments »

Great Expectations–2009 Ole Miss Preview

Posted by Adam Butler on July 24, 2009

johnny reb[1]“Take nothing on its looks; take everything on evidence. There’s no better rule.”  Charles Dickens, Great Expectations

 On its face, 2009 looks like a potential banner season for the Ole Miss Rebels.  Fresh from an impressive 9-4 campaign in 2008 that was capped by six consecutive wins, including a 47-34 Cotton Bowl triumph over the Texas Tech Red Raiders, Houston Nutt’s squad is this year’s off-season media darling.

The Rebels can be found in most preseason Top Ten lists, and, undoubtedly, there is a lot to like about Ole Miss as it heads into 2009.  First, the Ole Miss schedule is remarkably soft.  In fact, it’s so soft that when I read the transcript of Houston Nutt’s SEC media days press conference this week, in which he was asked to “talk about having to play in tough environments such as Memphis, South Carolina, and Vanderbilt” I actually blushed.

Memphis is the premier non-conference opponent on the Ole Miss slate. ‘Nuff said.  Additionally, the SEC schedule sets up like a stacked deck of cards for Ole Miss with its toughest road games coming at Auburn and South Carolina.  The Rebels host Alabama, Tennessee, LSU and Arkansas and also have the good fortune of avoiding perennial SEC powerhouse Georgia. 

 Most importantly though, they miss a revenge-fueled Florida squad led by College Football Savior/modern-day Knute Rockne, Tim Tebow.

 If that is not enough to get Johnny Rebs everywhere all Hotty Toddied, they are also undoubtedly delighted to have transplanted Texan quarterback Jevan Snead returning to the helm after he blossomed last year in the Magnolia State.

snead[1] Snead was a much-heralded prep All-American who originally signed with Texas, but transferred to Ole Miss after playing five games at UT in 2006 as a freshman.  In 2008, his first season in the SEC, Snead passed for a salty 2,762 yards and 26 touchdowns. 

He also threw 13 interceptions, but eight of those came in the month of September.  The growing pains were most evident in a four-interception clunker of a loss against Vanderbilt in Oxford.

Snead responded to that low point the following week by leading Ole Miss to an improbable 31-30 win over Florida in Gainesville that was the first of nine consecutive games (to end the season) in which he avoided throwing multiple interceptions.   He is in position to be one of the best quarterbacks in college football in the coming season.

On the other side of the ball, Ole Miss returns eight starters from a stout 2008 defense, as well as its enigmatic headliner, the oft-injured, but uber-talented NFL defensive end in waiting, Greg Hardy.

 Throw in 2008 1st team All-SEC placekicker Joshua Shene, who is the active conference leader in field goals with 42, and it is easy to see why the national sports punditocracy is aflutter over the Rebels.

But, history has taught us a number of valuable, but painful, lessons about Houston Nutt.  Even his fiercest detractors would admit that he has the innate ability to snatch unlikely victories from the jaws of defeat, often at times when seemingly everyone outside of his immediate family thinks the train is coming off of the tracks.

But, unfortunately for Ole Miss fans (and Arkansas fans during his tumultuous tenure in Fayetteville), he also has displayed a consistent, and mind-numbingly frustrating inability to sustain prosperity. 

I won’t recount the 1998 season, because it contained a confluence of events that led me to (at least in my mind’s eye) erase a few months of my life as if I was a character in the Will Smith movie “Men in Black”.

But I DO remember 2003, and the galvanizing 4-0 start for the Razorbacks that featured a blistering of Texas on a sweltering day in September and a come-from-behind, two-overtime win over Alabama in Tuscaloosa that was not for the faint of heart.

I also remember that at that point, a pattern began to emerge for Houston Nutt–extreme highs were met with equally extreme lows.  Nutt and the then Top 10 Hogs were riding a wave of momentum in ‘03 when they suffered a nationally-televised three-game losing streak by dropping home tilts versus Auburn and Florida before losing to Eli Manning and the Rebels in Oxford.

 

"This season could be special."

"This season could be special."

Then, in 2006, after a 2-year rebuilding effort and dalliances with Nebraska and LSU, Nutt again brought the Hogs to the brink of college football glory (the SEC Championship Game and, with a win, a potential BCS Championship Game appearance) only to have Razorback fans “Fish”ing for Kleenex.

A backfield that included 2-time HeismanTrophy runner-up Darren McFadden, fellow NFL first rounder Felix Jones and a heckuva third option, Peyton Hillis, carried the Hogs all the way to a Top 5 national ranking, but wasn’t enough to overcome the yipps that plagued the Nutt era at the University of Arkansas.

The Razorbacks limped to the finish in 2006 with losses to LSU (in Little Rock), Florida (in the SEC Championship Game) and Wisconsin (in the Capital One Bowl in Orlando).

I recount these near-misses not for my own, selfish, bitter purposes (OK, maybe a little) but instead to sound a cautionary note to Ole Miss fans–remember your history, as well as that of your head coach.

Ole Miss, despite the fact its gameday traditions include a “Walk of Champions” has not won a conference championship since the passage of the Civil Rights Act.  That is a long, 4 ½ decade walk (but it has featured the best tailgating of any stroll you have ever seen–just ask any Rebels fan).

And, its current leader, Nutt, has shown that he is what he is–a skilled, yet flawed coach that can invigorate a moribund program and bring notable success–but one who cannot lead the pack and finish with a kick.

He has earned SEC Coach of the Year honors twice (2001 and 2006) and has Ole Miss on the college football map, but he has never had a team finish in the Top 10 nationally, and was 2-6 in bowl games at Arkansas.

That is the kind of evidence that suggests looks are deceiving and the Ole Miss Rebels’ Great Expectations will end in great disappointment in 2009.

Ole Miss Offense:

Returning starters: 9

Key Players: Jevan Snead, QB, Dexter McLuster, WR, Cordera Eason, RB, Bradley Sowell, LT

One to Watch: Bradley Sowell, LT

Ole Miss Defense:

Returning Starters: 8

Key Players: Greg Hardy, DE, Kendrick Lewis, FS, Patrick Trahan, WLB

One to Watch: Patrick Trahan, WLB

Key Game(s): @ South Carolina Sept. 26, @ Vanderbilt Oct. 3, Alabama Oct. 10, Arkansas Oct. 24 and LSU Nov. 21

Schedule/Predicted Result: (8-4)

9/6 at Memphis W
9/12 OPEN DATE
9/19 SE Louisiana W
9/26 at South Carolina L
10/3 at Vanderbilt W
10/10 Alabama L
10/17 UAB W
10/24 Arkansas L
10/31 at Auburn W
11/7 Northern Arizona W
11/14 Tennessee W
11/21 LSU L
11/28 at Miss State W

Posted in SEC Preview, Sports | 26 Comments »