Week Four was a little disappointing.  I still ended up on the plus side (8-6), but I feel like I let you guys down.  I should have known better than to pick Detroit on the road, and the Oakland pick is borderline inexecusable.  I apologize. 

“You will never see any handicapper in the entire country who will work harder than I will work the rest of the season. And you will not see someone push the rest of the gamblers as hard as I will push everybody for the rest of the season, and you will never see a handicapper pick smarter than I will the rest of the season.”

As always….  Don’t blame me if you end up selling plasma this week to keep from having your kneecaps busted.

CINCINNATI (+8.5) v. Baltimore

The win over Cleveland was not impressive, but Cincinnati showed more mental toughness than they have shown in years.  Baltimore may still win, but I expect them to be smarting after the New England loss.

CLEVELAND (+6) v. Buffalo

Trent Edwards is awful.  I suspect we are about to see T.O.’s first real meltdown.  And getting rid of Edwards in Cleveland is addition by subtraction.  Potential moneyline wager here

WASHINGTON (+4) v. Carolina

Two crappy teams in a game that no one will watch…  I say take the points.

PITTSBURGH (-11.5) v. Detroit

Polamalu may be back this week.  Stafford may not.  Can you look me in the eye and say you’re confident with Culpepper — even starting out with 11.5 points?  I didn’t think so.

Dallas v. KANSAS CITY (+8.5)

Could Dallas really be a 6-10 team this year?  Their only 2 wins are against Tampa and Carolina, two winless teams. 

Oakland v. NY GIANTS (-16)

I would honestly give 20 in this game and feel reasonably confident.

Tampa Bay v. PHILADELPHIA (-15.5)

See above.

Minnesota v. ST. LOUIS (+10.5)

Almost impossible for the Vikings to be ready for this one after last week’s emotional high and coming off a short week.

Atlanta v. SAN FRANCISCO (-2.5)

Vegas still does not believe in the Niners and still likes the Falcons too much.

Houston v. ARIZONA (-5.5)

I want to take Houston here, but they are completely untrustworthy right now. 

New England v. DENVER (+3.5)

De-fense!  De-fense!

Jacksonville v. SEATTLE (-1)

Welcome back, Mr. Hasselbeck.

INDIANAPOLIS (-3.5) v. Tennessee

When everyone out there says next week, “No one saw this Tennessee collapse coming,” you can yell back at the TV/radio — “That’s not true!  BK saw it coming!”

NY JETS (-1.5) v. Miami

The most reckless pick of the week by me, I just love what Rex Ryan has done in New York.

——————————————————————————————————————–

Record ATS  –  Week 4: 8-6, Overall: 37-25

Sorry for the delay this morning, folks.  We have one BlogHawg down with the flu and the other with family in town.  I’ve slipped away to the office for a bit, th0ugh.  No traditional morning links today, but here’s a doozy you’ve probably already seen. 

President Obama Named 2009 Nobel Peace Prize Winner

That deserves a hale and hearty WTF, even from those of us who supported him in the general election.

I’ll be back later with a little preview for tomorrow and your NFL picks.