I’m 1-0 on the season! Honestly, I should consider not making any more of these picks. Having a perfect season is the dream of every handicapper, pro or amateur. I am decidedly an amateur at this, but a man can dream. These lines are accurate as of Friday morning. My picks are in ALL CAPS.
Miami at ATLANTA (-4)
I am a believer in Matt Ryan. Both teams spiked last year with great seasons coming off nightmares in 2007. Both have something to prove. Going with the home team seems like the right move.
Kansas City at BALTIMORE (-13)
Until they prove us wrong, Kansas City is still an awful football team with a quarterback playing with a limp. I’ll take Ray Lewis.
Philadelphia at CAROLINA (+2.5)
Carolina always wins a game like this. And it wouldn’t be an Andy Reid team if Philly didn’t stumble early.
Denver at CINCINNATI (-4)
This is the only week I can imagine taking Cincinnati to cover anything. Denver may not be a favorite in a single game until they play KC at home.
MINNESOTA (-4) at Cleveland
I am not buying the Vikings over the long haul, but I’ll take them this week.
NY Jets at HOUSTON (-4.5)
I like Rex Ryan and think the Jet defense will be very good. I just cannot take a rookie QB on the road against a team that will win eleven games.
JACKSONVILLE (+7) at Indianapolis
The Jags were the most injured team in the NFL last season. With a healthy offensive line and finally some dependable weapons on the edge, I like the Jags to attacked a Bob Sanders-less Colts defense.
Detroit at NEW ORLEANS (-13)
Tough call, but Drew Brees should light up the Lions defense. I actually expect Stafford to handle himself well.
DALLAS (-6) at Tampa Bay
For some reason I really want to take Tampa. But I just cannot wager on a team that fired its offensive coordinator 10 days before the first game of the season.
SAN FRANCISCO (+6.5) at Arizona
I also strongly urge a money line wager on the Niners to win.
Washington (+6.5) at NY GIANTS
The lack of proven playmakers for the G-men is concerning. Brandon Jacobs is a beast, but he was made better by tremendous RB depth which they no longer have. New York may pull this out, but I’ll definitely take the points with a solid Redskins team.
St. Louis at SEATTLE (-8.5)
A tantalizing teaser team this week, Seattle should roll the Lambs.
Chicago at GREEN BAY (-3.5)
Perhaps the second half of that tease. Aaron Rodgers is about to make the leap.
Buffalo at NEW ENGLAND (-11)
I hate laying this many points, but I have no faith in the Bills right now.
San Diego at OAKLAND (+9.5)
If you get more than a touchdown at home on Monday night, take it.